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Post by Natalie Anderson on Sept 9, 2016 1:24:08 GMT
Don't worry I'll be posting lots of things soon
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Post by Kathy Vavrick O’Brien on Sept 9, 2016 1:36:25 GMT
everyone was in an alliance but me and maybe natalie i think but nat will know more than me
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Post by Natalie Anderson on Sept 9, 2016 3:53:53 GMT
I'll do a detailed what happened each round (from my perspective on what I know) tomorrow when I have time. But for now here is my boot prediction and thoughts on each person and their chances:
7th: Jaclyn/Dustin 6th: Jaclyn/Dustin/Carrie 5th: Jaclyn/Carrie 4th: Ian 3rd: Tim 2nd: Julia 1st: Dorothy
Jaclyn: She is the outsider, and she is aware she is an outsider, however she isn't doing a lot about it. If she wasn't sent to exile she would be sitting here instead of me. She is not integrating well with people and that is what she needs to do to try to advance, but right now she is still seen as the next easy target to go.
Dustin: He was in the minority vote the last two tribals and he got pissed when I was leaving and it appears from his message in treemail that he is fed up and doesn't want to talk to some people anymore, so I feel his time is limited. He needs to not let his emotions/frustration get the best of him and still keep an open mind to everyone.
Carrie: Once the easy targets are gone I feel like Carrie will be a next easy boot since she isn't as active or dependable. She needs to up her activity and connections if she wants to make it past 5th place.
Ian: For some reason people are obsessed with the Palau similarities, so I think Ian will end up in final jury spot. He is doing well making sure he is connecting with everyone and has his hands in every cookie jar, but it is starting to catch up with him. He seems to be floating to whoever is in control at the moment, but he needs to pick a side soon and stick with it if he wants to make the end.
Tim: He is actually surprising me. I thought he was a follower, but he was the deciding vote this round and he is doing well keeping who he is actually close to a secret. I think he just needs to keep this momentum and maybe be a little flashier and he could make a run for the money.
Julia: She is making moves and social enough and has a lot of people protecting her so it will be hard to get her out. However she is starting to piss people off and people are realizing how connected she is so that would be her only downfall.
Dorothy: She is playing great. I don't think she has the allies she did at the start of the merge, but she still has that intimidation factor. People see her as a threat and will probably target her when they can, but I honestly think she is going to sweep the rest of the competitions and make the end that way. However I think she needs to re-evaluate who she can trust and I think she should have targeted someone else other than me that was more connected with other. If she does make the end she would have pissed the least amount of people off as well. Triple threat. Smart, likeable, and Strong.
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Post by Natalie Anderson on Sept 9, 2016 23:27:32 GMT
Ok merge round 1 (and Burnie can correct me if I'm wrong):
There was kind of a big alliance of 7 from what I gathered. Dorothy/Burnie/Julia/Ian/Dustin/Carrie/Tim. That was also my predicted pecking order (Dorothy/Burnie/Julia being top 3 and so on). Jaclyn and Kathy were on the outs and I was legit an outsider.
The plan was for Kathy to be 10th, me to be 9th and Jaclyn to be 8th.
The first round everything went according to the big alliance plan and they got Kathy out. From what people told me, was that as long as Kathy didn't win immunity I would be good. However Kathy and I discussed exiling each other if one of us were to win keeping us both safe, but alas BB mini stacked the odds against either of us winning, and the big alliance dominated that challenge and sent Kathy home. Merge round 2:
Ian told me that he thinks I'm good this round and that Julia is thinking about getting Burnie out the round after so that if I survive this round I should be good. However I think Julia took the opportunity to do it a round earlier. My understanding is that Julia spoke to Tim about voting out one of Dustin/Ian/Burnie and Tim said he would vote Burnie. That could be wrong and Julia could have just asked Tim to vote Burnie. Then Julia approached me about voting Burnie (side note: Julia and Ian had been telling me the past 2 rounds that Dorothy and Burnie were the 2 people pushing me to go the most, and I think a few others had been telling me that as well) so obviously I was fine with this. I told Julia I would talk to Jaclyn about voting Burnie and she said she would talk to Carrie. So there was our 5. She told me that Dorothy/Burnie/Ian/Dustin were very close and needed to be broken up (Sidenote for Burnie- my guess is that Julia wasn't sure if you were more loyal to her and Dorothy or Ian and Dustin) and she said not to tell anyone else. However this is where I get confused on relationships, then Ian comes to me and says that I am good since Julia wants to vote Burnie out this round and told me not to tell Dustin. So I started thinking that Julia and Ian may be closer than I thought. But anyway that was 6 votes to get Burnie out leaving Dustin and Burnie in the darkMerge Round 3:
Dorothy came back and was pissed at Julia (so I heard) and was not happy Burnie was gone. So this round is where I planned to start playing actively since I spent 2 rounds building relationships and doing what was told. However Dorothy winning immunity and sending Jaclyn was the worst case scenerio for me since she was really gunning for me and Jaclyn was my last buffer of someone that could go home before me, and I think Jaclyn would have been a vote on my side. However Jaclyn did tell me that she had ties to Dorothy and Burnie so not sure if those 3 made like a fake alliance (Burnie can probably confirm). And Jaclyn told me she was sending Dorothy to exile if she won and Dorothy sent her so not sure if they made a deal to send each other. Anyway, Ian told me that the vote was currently 3 votes to boot me (Dorothy, Julia, Carrie) and 3 votes to boot Carrie (Ian, Tim, Me) with Dustin undecided since he didn't want either of us to go. Everyone has their "alliance" and then their "Satalite person they also want to keep around" so nobody was on the same page. Dustin wanted Julia out and would not vote Carrie, Julia wanted me or Dustin out but would not vote Carrie, Ian wanted Carrie out, Tim would not vote Julia out and said he didn't want me out, but didn't say who he wanted out. It was a mess.
Finally Dustin, Ian, Tim, and I decide to boot Julia. However then Ian took it another step further and wanted to tell Julia to boot Dustin with Carrie and for me and him to boot Carrie so that there could be a 2-2-2-1 tribal. I obviously did not like this idea since my butt was on the line, but then I was somehow forced to make a final 4 alliance with Julia, Ian, and Carrie.
I asked Ian what he really wanted to do and wanted to boot Carrie, but I said doing that would piss off Julia and Dustin making both sides angry so I said I wasn't doing that (which now in hindsight might have been my downfall). So then he wanted to boot Dustin. Ok now I was like WTF is happening and what do I do, lol...
A few hours before tribal Tim messages Ian and Dustin and told them not to be upset but that he was voting me out, so that is when Dustin got mad at Tim and I tried to talk to Tim and Julia, but Julia also flipped back to voting me out. Anyway, I tried different things to no avail. There is some weird relationship going on with Tim/Julia/Ian that I didn't see coming, or maybe I am misreading things but Ian and Tim seemed to be very against voting Julia and trying anything to not do so. I think Tim said Dustin blocked him, but not sure. I think Ian voted Carrie to play the middle and not piss off Julia by voting her and not piss off Dustin/me by voting me. However I did tell Dustin before I left that Ian told me he was voting him, and that he and Tim may have something with Julia. So maybe that is why Dustin doesn't want to talk to anyone until the challenge. Oops Again this is just from what I know of what people told me and my assumption and I could be wrong about things.
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Post by Cody Calafiore on Sept 10, 2016 5:33:16 GMT
ty for ur insight natalie
so basically boring pagonging? lame
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Post by Natalie Anderson on Sept 10, 2016 6:01:02 GMT
Yeah there are some cracks, but like what I said what was challenging was that everyone had "a person" they were protecting so no cohesive decision could be made. But people don't get the decision has to be made at some point, and now there will be less options to help get out other peoples "person" before they get out their "person"
Also bummed I missed Majority Rules. Would have been fun to see what people said about me.
Also Burnie do you have any other insight? Who has idols?
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Post by Nikki Grahame on Sept 10, 2016 9:39:01 GMT
I mean... Burnie is here so not a complete pagonging lol ;-)
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Post by Burnie Burns on Sept 10, 2016 12:02:58 GMT
I mean... Burnie is here so not a complete pagonging lol ;-) -_____________-
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Post by Burnie Burns on Sept 10, 2016 12:06:49 GMT
Yeah there are some cracks, but like what I said what was challenging was that everyone had "a person" they were protecting so no cohesive decision could be made. But people don't get the decision has to be made at some point, and now there will be less options to help get out other peoples "person" before they get out their "person" Also bummed I missed Majority Rules. Would have been fun to see what people said about me. Also Burnie do you have any other insight? Who has idols? I don't have any concrete info re: idols but Jasmine played hers on OG Lux. We all assummed Tim had the Amsterdam idol (if you have any insight to this much appreicated) and the Brussells was found by the time Dorothy and I managed to break into there. There was also a ost in there that was dated two hours after Tim had gotten back from Exile, so there's a very real possibility he's hoarding two at this point, unless Simon went out with one or something. Carrie had a shot at the Brussells idol, buyt quite frankly we all dismissed her as...well...is too stupid and/or inactive harsh? Because it maaaaay have been what we thought lmao. I'm HOPING Dorothy managed to get the Exile idol, she had all three clues by the round I left, but that's not information I know. She's super smart though, so I'd hope she had found it - and her willigness to send Jaclyn to Exile as a strategic play might confirm it. (Granted, if anyone thinks Jaclyn can crack an idol, all the power in the world to them.)
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Post by Natalie Anderson on Sept 10, 2016 16:05:47 GMT
Someone definitely has the Amsterdam idol I just don't know who. Dustin was telling everyone (Tim and Simon) his clue. When Simon got back from exile he shared his clue with Dustin and then Dustin told me that he and hot dogs were able to get but the idol had been found. I wasn't sure if that was a lie to cover up that he or Simon found it, or if Tim found it, or if Simon got in before Dustin and took it and then shared his clue with Dustin.
Tim told me Simon has it, Dustin said Tim had it and Simon told me Dustin had so....fuck me lol
So one of them has it but not sure which one.
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Post by Burnie Burns on Sept 11, 2016 5:54:27 GMT
Not counting pluralities seems like an...odd choice, to be honest. Glad it didn't affect the results, I'd advise against it in the future. (But what do I know!)
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The Jury
Sept 11, 2016 12:11:47 GMT
via mobile
Post by Nikki Grahame on Sept 11, 2016 12:11:47 GMT
I thought the same thing Bernie. But that was how Audrey interpreted the rules were meant to be. Katia was out gentring her drink and flirt on and it wasn't going to affect the outcome anyway. Just went with it LOL
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The Jury
Sept 11, 2016 15:00:48 GMT
via mobile
Post by Natalie Anderson on Sept 11, 2016 15:00:48 GMT
I'm guessing with Jaclyn on exile there may be an idol play or 2. Should be interesting to see. My guess is they will try to go after Dorothy or Dustin will just get the boot.
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The Jury
Sept 11, 2016 15:51:38 GMT
via mobile
Post by Katia Winter on Sept 11, 2016 15:51:38 GMT
I thought the same thing Bernie. But that was how Audrey interpreted the rules were meant to be. Katia was out gentring her drink and flirt on and it wasn't going to affect the outcome anyway. Just went with it LOL Audrey did misinterpret, but Julia won either way. So I let it go. Also I am hungover as hell this morning.
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Post by Jasmine Trias on Sept 11, 2016 23:07:15 GMT
omg I feel so much bad energy from people still in game
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